UFC Paris: Hooker vs. Parnasse · September 05, 2026 · Featherweight

Morgan Charrière vs Felipe Lima prediction

Felipe Lima
Winner pick
64%
Confidence
Decision
Method lean
Upcoming
Status
💬 Open Fight Chat

Prediction

Market snapshot on Aug. 24: Lima roughly -185 to -193, Charrière roughly +161 to +168. Lima gets the pick because his pressure, athleticism and ability to blend striking with grappling should help him bank competitive rounds. Charrière has the home crowd, good power and strong takedown defense, but Lima's pace gives him more ways to keep scoring if the fight is close.

Key edges

  • Pressure and pace
  • Athleticism
  • Mixed striking and grappling

What could go wrong?

Charrière is dangerous in open-space striking and can turn the crowd and momentum quickly if Lima struggles to establish pressure.

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Locked pick record

This prediction was published before the fight and is intended to remain in the archive after the result. Record ID: C11739520DB7. Results should be added without rewriting the original call.

Independent analysis. Not affiliated with UFC or any fight promotion. This is not gambling advice.