UFC Paris: Hooker vs. Parnasse · September 05, 2026 · Welterweight

Punahele Soriano vs Daniil Donchenko prediction

Daniil Donchenko
Winner pick
66%
Confidence
Decision
Method lean
Upcoming
Status
💬 Open Fight Chat

Prediction

Market snapshot on Aug. 24: Donchenko roughly -200 to -230, Soriano roughly +174 to +192. Donchenko gets the pick because the market is strongly favoring his cleaner overall form and he should be able to force Soriano to work through longer exchanges rather than rely on single power moments. Soriano's left hand remains a major equalizer, so the pick is solid but not high-confidence.

Key edges

  • Current form
  • More consistent minute winning
  • Composure over three rounds

What could go wrong?

Soriano has legitimate knockout power and can erase a technical disadvantage with one clean counter if Donchenko gets careless entering range.

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Locked pick record

This prediction was published before the fight and is intended to remain in the archive after the result. Record ID: F1430DFD42F6. Results should be added without rewriting the original call.

Independent analysis. Not affiliated with UFC or any fight promotion. This is not gambling advice.